The Lancet Healthy Longevity
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match The Lancet Healthy Longevity's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Werner, C. J.; Meyer, T.; Pinho, J.; Mall, B.; Schulz, J. B.; Schumann-Werner, B.
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Purpose: Neurogenic dysphagia is prevalent in neurological inpatients and associated with adverse outcomes, yet its independent economic impact after adjustment for frailty and functional status remains poorly quantified. We aimed to estimate the independent effect of dysphagia on hospital length of stay (LOS) and costs, to test whether this effect differs between geriatric and non-geriatric patients, and to quantify the probability and magnitude of cost savings from improvements in swallowing function. Methods: We analysed 10,375 neurological inpatient cases (2021-2024) at a German university hospital. Dysphagia was defined by fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing (FEES) or ICD-10 R13 coding (n = 1,382; 13.3%). Bayesian Gamma-log regression with informative priors from historical data and published literature was used to model LOS and total case costs (German DRG), adjusted for age, sex, Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS, R13-adjusted), self-care index ("Selbstpflege-Index", SPI), stroke status, and emergency admission. A geriatric cohort was defined as age >=70 and adjusted HFRS >=5 (n = 2,053; 19.8%). Posterior predictive simulation estimated cost savings for hypothetical improvements of 1-3 points on the Functional Oral Intake Scale (FOIS). Results: After comprehensive adjustment, dysphagia was independently associated with 46.5% longer LOS (posterior ratio 1.465; 95% credible interval [CrI] 1.397-1.537) and 28.2% higher total case costs (ratio 1.282; CrI 1.213-1.354). The dysphagia x geriatric interaction was small but credible and ran in opposite directions: slightly attenuated for LOS (interaction ratio 0.908, CrI 0.837-0.986) but slightly amplified for costs (1.096, CrI 1.012-1.185), consistent with complexity-driven DRG grouping in geriatric patients. The absolute economic burden remained larger in the geriatric cohort due to higher baseline costs. In the geriatric cohort, a one-point FOIS improvement yielded a 74.3% posterior probability of LOS-based savings (mean EUR 555/case); at three points, this rose to 84.2% (mean EUR 1,115/case). The direct cost model confirmed high benefit probabilities from the payer's perspective (82.6% at dFOIS = 3). Conclusions: Neurogenic dysphagia is an independent and substantial driver of hospital LOS and costs in neurological inpatients, even after adjustment for frailty and functional status. The proportional effect on costs is slightly larger in geriatric patients, while the LOS effect is slightly smaller, consistent with the mechanics of the G-DRG system. Bayesian simulation indicates that improvements in swallowing function carry a high probability of generating cost savings, supporting the characterisation of dysphagia as a modifiable economic target with particular relevance to geriatric neurology.
Wan, Y. I.; Pearse, R. M.; Prowle, J. R.
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Objective To examine the impact of acute illness on long-term health and describe any differences in these associations between socioeconomic and ethnic groups. Design Longitudinal population study. Setting Linked primary and secondary care data recorded in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Participants Adults ([≥]18 years) residing in England registered with a primary care general practice (GP) between 1st January 2012 and 31st December 2022 who have not opted out of inclusion into CPRD and linked data sources. Socioeconomic deprivation was defined using the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) and ethnicity by UK census 2011 definitions. Main outcome measures The primary outcome was new long-term disease and multimorbidity (two or more long-term diseases). We describe incidence of hospitalisation for acute illness as the exposure. Results We included 18,329,659 people, with 9,339,394 (51.0%) women, 7,430,555 (40.5%) people from the most deprived deciles (IMD 1-4) and 3,009,717 (16.4%) from a minority ethnic group. 6,038,272 (32.9%) people experienced hospitalisation for acute illness. Hospitalisation was associated with increased onset of long-term disease in those alive at the end of follow up (41.1% hospitalised vs 18.7% not hospitalised; adjusted HR 2.48 (2.47 to 2.48)). Compared to non-hospitalised, those who had been hospitalised were more likely to change from being disease free at baseline to having a new long-term disease (12.9% vs. 7.5%), develop multimorbidity (4.7% vs. 1.1%), or transition to multimorbidity if they had pre-existing disease (8.1% vs. 1.8%). Age-standardised hospitalisation rates were highest in the most deprived decile and in people with Black ethnicity. Comparative hospitalisation ratio for IMD 1 compared to IMD 10 ranging from 1.78 in 2018 to 1.96 in 2021 and for Black ethnicity compared to White ranging from 1.03 in 2017 to 1.08 in 2021. Conclusions Acute hospitalisation is a key stage in the development of long-term disease and may be an underutilised opportunity for intervention to change healthy life trajectory and reduce health inequality.
Carazo, S.; Skowronski, D. M.; Sauvageau, C.; Talbot, D.; Racine, E.; Brousseau, N. M.
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We evaluated 2024/25 KP.2 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19 hospitalization among adults >60 years old eligible for publicly-funded vaccination during fall and/or spring campaigns in the province of Quebec, Canada. We included Quebec residents tested for COVID-19-compatible symptoms in an acute-care hospital between October 13, 2024 (epi-week 2024-42) and August 23, 2025 (2025-34), linking vaccine, hospital, chronic diseases and laboratory administrative records to assess VE through test-negative design. We compared the odds of being COVID-19 test-positive versus test-negative among vaccinated versus non-vaccinated participants, adjusting for sex, age, comorbidities, place of residence, and epidemiological week. Overall, 49,949 (43%) participants were vaccinated. Over an analysis period spanning up to ten months, including median time since vaccination of 16 weeks (interquartile range 9-24 weeks), VE was 34% overall, declining from 43% <8 weeks to negligible by the 32nd week post-vaccination. Findings confirm meaningful but short-lived COVID-19 vaccine protection against hospitalization in older adults.
Goldwater, J. C.; Harris, Y.; Das, S. K.; Fernandez Galvis, M. A.; Maru, D.; Jordan, W. B.; Sacaridiz, C.; Norwood, C.; Kim, S. S.; Neustrom, K.
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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the return on investment (ROI) of a community based Diabetes Self Management Program (DSMP) enhanced with health related social needs (HRSN) screening and referrals, implemented by the New York City (NYC) Department of Health and Mental Hygiene with three community based organizations in highly impacted, under resourced neighborhoods. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cost benefit analysis from a public sector payer perspective was conducted among 171 adults with type 2 diabetes who completed a six week, peer led DSMP delivered by community health workers (CHWs) in English, Spanish, and Korean during 2018 2019. A time driven, activity based costing model captured direct implementation costs, CHW workforce turnover, and administrative overhead. Monetized benefits included avoided diabetes related complications, reductions in self reported emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations, and quality adjusted life year (QALY) gains from improved medication adherence. Univariate sensitivity analyses tested robustness under conservative assumptions. RESULTS: Total program costs were $179,224; monetized benefits totaled $1,824,213, yielding a net benefit of $1,644,989 and an ROI of 918%, approximately $10 returned per $1 invested. Excluding QALY gains, ROI remained 551%. Self reported ED visits declined from 149 to 82 and hospitalizations from 93 to 24 in the six months following intervention. Over 80% of participants reported housing instability; 72% were Medicaid covered and 16% uninsured. Sensitivity analyses confirmed a positive ROI under all conservative scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: A CHW led, community based DSMP integrated with HRSN screening and referrals delivered substantial economic and public health value among adults facing housing instability and structural barriers to care. Findings support inclusion of DSMP as a covered benefit in Medicaid managed care, value based payment arrangements, and housing access initiatives to advance equitable diabetes outcomes.
Haeusler, I. L.; Etoori, D.; Campbell, C. N. J.; McDonald, S. L. R.; Lopez Bernal, J.; Mounier-Jack, S.; Kasstan-Dabush, B.; McDonald, H. I.; Parker, E. P. K.; Suffel, A.
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BackgroundIn England, individuals with chronic liver disease (CLD) are among those with the lowest seasonal influenza vaccine uptake despite being at elevated risk of severe influenza. We examined the relationship between CLD severity and aetiology, and influenza vaccine uptake in England. MethodsA retrospective cohort study of adults (18-115 years) using Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum primary care data was conducted for five seasons (2019/20-2023/24). Poisson regression was used to estimate rates of uptake by CLD severity (clinical diagnoses categorised as low, moderate, or severe) and aetiology (alcohol-related, viral-related, and diagnoses in the Green Book guidelines). FindingsThere were 182,174-277,470 with CLD per cohort. Among those who were additionally age-eligible for vaccination, uptake was 71{middle dot}1-79{middle dot}7% compared to 30{middle dot}9-40{middle dot}5% in those not additionally age-eligible. Among individuals below age eligibility without other comorbidities, severity was associated with higher uptake (incidence rate ratio [IRR] moderate 1{middle dot}80, 95% CI 1{middle dot}69-1{middle dot}90; severe 1{middle dot}95, 95% CI 1{middle dot}84-2{middle dot}08 in 2023/24); there was no effect in those with at least one additional comorbidity (moderate 1{middle dot}05, 95% CI 0{middle dot}99-1{middle dot}10; severe 1{middle dot}05, 95% CI 1{middle dot}01-1{middle dot}09). Alcohol- and viral-related aetiology were also associated with increased uptake in those not additionally age-eligible. Among individuals meeting age eligibility without additional comorbidities, severity was associated with a reduced uptake (moderate 0{middle dot}81, 95% CI 0{middle dot}73-0{middle dot}90; severe 0{middle dot}79, 95% CI 0{middle dot}74-0{middle dot}85), with attenuation in those with additional comorbidities (moderate 0{middle dot}99, 95% CI 0{middle dot}94-1{middle dot}04; severe 0{middle dot}91, 95% CI 0{middle dot}89-0{middle dot}94). InterpretationCLD severity and aetiology were important determinants of uptake in the absence of additional indications for influenza vaccination. Future research should prioritise understanding facilitators and barriers to vaccine uptake in individuals with CLD, particularly for those at highest risk of severe infection. FundingNIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation (NIHR200929/NIHR207408). Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe searched PubMed up to June 2025 using the terms "chronic liver disease", "cirrhosis", "hepatitis", "influenza vaccination", "seasonal influenza", and "vaccine uptake". Previous research, including national data from England, has shown that people with chronic liver disease tend to have lower seasonal influenza vaccine uptake than individuals with other medical comorbidities which qualify for vaccination such as diabetes, chronic kidney disease or immunosuppression. The reasons for low influenza vaccine uptake in people with chronic liver disease are not well understood, and it is therefore difficult for vaccination providers, principally primary care services in England, to tailor interventions aimed to increase uptake. Qualitative research involving individuals aged less than 65 years living in England with clinical risk comorbidities, most commonly diabetes, found that chronic disease management pathways inconsistently provided information about the importance of influenza vaccination as part of chronic disease management. Individuals with long-term conditions reported low perceived risk of influenza infection and limited awareness of vaccine benefits as important reasons for non-uptake. We hypothesised that the severity and aetiology of chronic liver disease may be important determinants of uptake. Added value of this studyWe conducted a population-based study to examine how chronic liver disease severity and aetiology influence seasonal influenza vaccine uptake in adults in England. Using primary care electronic health record data from five consecutive influenza seasons (2019/20-2023/24), we found that more severe chronic liver disease was associated with a substantial increase in vaccine uptake in those without additional indications for seasonal influenza vaccination (age-based eligibility or other qualifying clinical risk comorbidities). Alcohol- and viral-related aetiology were also associated with increased uptake in those who were not additionally age-eligible for vaccination. In contrast, severity, alcohol- and viral-related underlying aetiology were associated with a modest reduction in uptake for individuals with chronic liver disease who also qualified for vaccination due to age. Implications of all the available evidenceDespite clear clinical vulnerability to infection and a substantially elevated risk of morbidity and mortality following infection, a large proportion of adults with chronic liver disease, particularly those aged under 65 years, remain unvaccinated against seasonal influenza each year. This study suggests that chronic liver disease severity and underlying aetiology are important determinants of uptake in individuals not meeting age-based vaccine eligibility, particularly in those without additional clinical risk comorbidities. This could be because of differing perceptions of influenza risk, or due to varying degrees of interaction with healthcare specialists as part of chronic disease management. In individuals who met age-based vaccination eligibility, the negative effect of severity on influenza vaccine uptake may reflect greater barriers to accessing vaccination services by those with more complex health needs, or competing medical priorities for long-term condition management during consultations. To inform targeted vaccination strategies, future research should aim to understand the specific facilitators and barriers to influenza vaccination experienced by individuals with chronic liver disease. This should include perspectives of individuals with different disease severity, across different age groups, in those with and without additional co-morbidities.
Wan, Y. I.; Pearse, R. M.; Prowle, J. R.
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Background Surgery is a widely used treatment option but the impact of surgery on long-term disease across socioeconomic groups is unknown. Methods Longitudinal population study using linked primary and secondary care data describing adults ([≥]18 years) in England recorded in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) between 1st January 2012 and 31st December 2021. Socioeconomic deprivation was defined using the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD). The exposure was surgery and primary outcome was long-term disease. Data are presented as n (%), median (IQR), and adjusted hazards ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals. Findings Of 18,329,659 people, 8,951,145 (48.8%) underwent surgery. 78.6% of index surgeries were elective (n=7,032,475), 21.4% were emergency (n=1,918,670). Amongst surgical patients, 4,741,188 (52.0%) were women, 3,540,136 (39.6%) from the most deprived deciles (IMD 1-4) and 994,595 (11.1%) from a minority ethnic group. Age-standardised rates of surgery were higher in deprived individuals (comparative rate ratio IMD 1 vs. IMD 10 elective: 1.11 (95% CI 1.11-1.11), emergency: 1.54 (1.54-1.54)). Age at first surgery was 42 (27-60) years for elective and 42 (25-65) years for emergency surgery overall, but lower for people from IMD 1-4 (elective: 39 (26-57) years, emergency: 38 (24-60) years). Rates of long-term disease increased following both elective (baseline 19.6%, three years 24.5%) and emergency surgery (baseline 10.3%, three years 12.3%). Risk of new long-term disease following surgery increased with increasing levels of deprivation (IMD 1 vs. IMD 10 elective: HR 1.46 (1.45-1.48), emergency: HR 1.46 (1.44-1.48)). Interpretation Surgical treatment is strongly associated with the onset of long-term disease and factors which limit healthy life expectancy. Surgery occurs at a younger age among socioeconomically deprived groups and may be linked to health inequalities. Similar but more complex patterns of inequality were seen in minority ethnic groups. Funding Barts Charity and UK Academy of Medical Sciences.
Vicic, N.; Bogdanov, A.; Hensler, H.; Ryan, T.; Zeng, N.; Beck, E.; Patry, E.; Bonafede, M.; Araujo, A. B.; Wilson, A.
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Background: The 2025/2026 COVID-19 vaccine season introduced updated formulations targeting the LP.8.1 lineage. This study assessed the absolute vaccine effectiveness (aVE) of mRNA-1283 and BNT162b2 on COVID-19 outcomes in adults aged [≥]65 years. Methods: Background: The 2025/2026 COVID-19 vaccine season introduced updated formulations targeting the LP.8.1 lineage. This study assessed the absolute vaccine effectiveness (aVE) of mRNA-1283 and BNT162b2 on COVID-19 outcomes in adults aged [≥]65 years. Methods: This retrospective study used linked electronic health record and administrative claims data through Jan 31, 2026. Adults [≥]65 years who received the mRNA-1283 or BNT162b2 2025/2026 COVID-19 vaccine were matched to unvaccinated individuals. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to matched cohorts of each vaccine to balance covariates. Each vaccine was evaluated independently against its own unvaccinated comparator group. aVE against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models; aVE = 100 x (1 - hazard ratio [HR]). Results: We identified 233,072 mRNA-1283 recipients and 422,610 BNT162b2 recipients [≥]65 years. The aVE (95% confidence interval) of mRNA-1283 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 59.3% (39.0%, 72.9%) and 42.0% (35.0%, 48.3%) among adults [≥]65 years and 66.9% (45.9%, 79.8%) and 50.2% (42.1%, 57.2%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. The aVE of BNT162b2 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 48.3% (32.4%, 60.5%) and 41.2% (36.2%, 45.8%) in [≥]65 years and 45.9% (26.0%, 60.4%) and 44.0% (37.8%, 49.6%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. Conclusions: This is the first real-world evidence showing that mRNA-1283 prevents COVID-19-related hospitalizations and medically attended events in vulnerable older adults at highest risk of severe disease. These findings support mRNA-1283 as an important public health tool for reducing the ongoing burden of COVID-19.Results: We identified 233,072 mRNA-1283 recipients and 422,610 BNT162b2 recipients [≥]65 years. The aVE (95% confidence interval) of mRNA-1283 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 59.3% (39.0%, 72.9%) and 42.0% (35.0%, 48.3%) among adults [≥]65 years and 66.9% (45.9 %, 79.8%) and 50.2% (42.1%, 57.2%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. The aVE of BNT162b2 against COVID-19 related hospitalization and medically-attended COVID-19 was 48.3% (32.4%, 60.5%) and 41.2% (36.2%, 45.8%) in [≥]65 years and 45.9% (26.0%, 60.4%) and 44.0% (37.8%, 49.6%) in [≥]75 years, respectively. Conclusions: This is the first real-world evidence showing that mRNA-1283 prevents COVID-19-related hospitalizations and medically attended events in vulnerable older adults at highest risk of severe disease. These findings support mRNA-1283 as an important public health tool for reducing the ongoing burden of COVID-19.
zeng, p.; Yuan, G.
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Background: The role of biological age acceleration (BioAgeAccel) in the dynamic progression from single cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic disease (CKMD) to multimorbidity, and subsequently to dementia and mortality remains elusive. Methods: We conducted a longitudinal study with data of 433,911 UK Biobank participants. Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic multimorbidity (CKMM) was defined as the coexistence of two or more CKMDs, including cardiovascular disease (CVD), stroke, type 2 diabetes (T2D), and chronic kidney disease. Biological aging was measured via PhenoAge and KDM-BA. Multistate models examined the association between BioAgeAccel and disease transitions, ranging from healthy to the first occurrence of CKMD (FCKMD), then progression to CKMM, dementia, and mortality. Restricted mean survival time estimated the disease transition time or life expectancy between states. Results: BioAgeAccel was significantly associated with increased risks across all disease transitions. Specifically, during CKMM progression, the hazard ratios (HRs) of the transition from healthy to FCKMD were 1.24 [95%CI 1.23-1.25] for PhenoAgeAccel and 1.16 [1.15-1.17] for KDM-BA-Accel. For subsequent transition to CKMM, the HRs were 1.20 [1.18-1.22] and 1.19 [1.17-1.21], respectively. In dementia-related transitions, PhenoAgeAccel showed the higher risk for CKMM to dementia (HR=1.13 [1.04-1.22]) than for the transition from healthy or from FCKMD to dementia. These associations were further moderated by age, physical activity, educational, and lifestyle factors. BioAgeAccel also accelerated disease progression and reduced life expectancy; for example, during CKMM progression, BioAgeAccel shortened the time between disease transitions by about 1.09 years from healthy to FCKMD, and an additional 1.75 years to CKMM. Regarding life expectancy, individuals with CKMM experienced an average reduction of about 1.36 years under PhenoAge, while those with dementia showed a decrease of about 0.77 years. Among individuals with CVD or T2D as the initial diagnosis, the impact of BioAgeAccel on progression to CKMM or dementia was stronger. Conclusions: BioAgeAccel exerts significant promotive role in the onset of CKMD and their subsequent progression to CKMM, dementia, and mortality, helping identify high-risk individuals. Implementing biological age assessments and health lifestyle interventions in middle-aged populations serves as an effective strategy for alleviating the burden of CKMDs and dementia.
Kan, C. N.; Chew, J.; Lim, W. S.; Tan, C. H.
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Frailty is a multisystem clinical syndrome closely linked to cognitive aging, yet its cerebral underpinnings and co-contribution to adverse outcomes remain poorly understood. In 63,509 dementia-free UK Biobank participants (aged 65.0{+/-}7.7), higher frailty index (FI) was associated with multiple neuroimaging markers, including reduced hippocampal volume, decreased cortical thickness, greater white matter hyperintensities burden, and impaired brain diffusion metrics. FI and neuroimaging markers additively increased the risks of incident dementia and mortality. An extreme gradient boosting with accelerated failure time framework highlighted FI and key regional neuroimaging features in dementia risk prediction (nested C-index=0.825, iAUC=0.759). Integrating the top 10 predictors into a novel point-based cerebral frailty risk score (CFRS) showed strong performance in predicting dementia onset (optimism-corrected C-index=0.838, iAUC=0.778), and was robust to the competing risk of mortality. These findings highlight the potential utility of a CFRS framework that integrates cumulative systemic and cerebral vulnerabilities for dementia risk stratification.
Skirrow, C.; Bird, M.; Day, E.; Savoic, J.; deVocht, F.; Judge, A.; Moran, P.; Schofield, B.; Ward, I.
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Background Hospital admissions for mental health (MH) and stress related presentations (SRP; symptoms without a clear medical cause which may be psychosomatic in nature) among children and young people (CYP) have risen over time. Rehospitalisation contributes to service costs, may indicate gaps in community based care, and can also disrupt education and social development. Methods This retrospective cohort study used NHS Hospital Episode Statistics to identify all CYP aged 10 to 25 with >1 MH/SRP related hospital admissions in England between 1 April 2014 and 31 March 2018, with follow up until 31 March 2019. Admissions were classified from ICD10 codes into internalising, externalising, personality, and eating disorders, psychosis, self-harm, substance use, postpartum, or potentially psychosomatic diagnostic groups. Outcomes included 30 day all cause readmission, 1 year all cause readmission, and 1 year MH/SRP-specific rehospitalisation. Time to rehospitalisation, and number of MH/SRP readmissions were also evaluated. Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics associated with rehospitalisation were assessed using regression models, time to rehospitalisation using Kaplan Meier analyses, and diagnostic transitions were visualised using Sankey diagrams. Results Of 492,061 CYP with hospital admission for MH/SRP, approximately one third were rehospitalised within one year. Females, older CYP and those from more deprived areas had higher odds of all cause readmission. The odds of MH/SRP rehospitalisation were highest among those aged 14 to 15 years. Co occurring chronic physical health conditions, personality and eating disorders were associated with higher odds, and shorter time, to readmission. Conclusions Rehospitalisation following MH/SRP admissions is common and socioeconomically patterned among CYP. Targeted discharge planning and continuity of care interventions are needed, particularly for high risk CYP admitted with eating and personality disorders.
Davies, J. M.; Fairs, A.; Ayoubkhani, D.; Marshall, S.; Diggle, M.; Bradshaw, A.; French, M.; Stone, J.; Hussain, J.; Fimister, G.; Harding, R.; Sleeman, K.; Nafilyan, V.
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Context: In the UK, and in other countries, people living with a terminal illness are eligible for financial support to help with the costs of serious illness and to support their dignity and independence. This study investigates the take-up of benefits in the last year of life and identifies sociodemographic, clinical, and geographical factors associated with underclaiming. Methods: Retrospective cohort study using linked mortality, Census and benefits data for all people who died aged 16+ from chronic illnesses in England and Wales between 1 May 2018 and 30 April 2021. Outcome was receipt of non-means tested disability benefits in the last 12 months of life. We describe geographical variation in take up, and association with sociodemographic, clinical and geographical exposures using Poisson models. Findings: Our population included 1,049,493 eligible decedents, with an overall take-up rate of 65.9%. After adjusting for sociodemographic factors, variation in take-up by cause of death was wide: liver disease 44% (95% CI 43, 45%), heart failure 52% (51, 52%), cancer 62% (61, 62%), dementia 75% (74, 75%), and neurodegenerative diseases 90% (88, 91%). Across Local Authorities, the age-and-sex-standardised take-up varied from 53% to 78%; rates were generally higher in more deprived areas, but not uniformly. Conclusions: In England and Wales, 1 in 3 people who die from expected causes (120,000 each year) do not receive the benefits for which they are eligible. Our analysis uses novel data linkages and highlights clinical and sociodemographic groups and geographical areas that could be targeted with proactive take-up initiatives.
Mora Pinzon, M. C.; Pasqualini, R.; Navarro, V.; Rosales, M. d. C.; Franzese, O.; Perales-Puchalt, J.
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Introduction. Latino families shoulder a disproportionate share of dementia care in the United States, yet encounter multilayered barriers that shape access, timeliness, and quality. This study explores the experiences of Latino care partners, focusing on how system-level, cultural, and linguistic factors shape dementia care. Methods. We conducted a qualitative study using semi-structured interviews with care partners of Latino individuals living with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD). Interviews were conducted by phone or videoconference by a bilingual interviewer, and the interviews were recorded and transcribed verbatim. Data was analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis. Results. Twenty-three participants were recruited. Two meta-themes captured participants' experiences. (1) Mismatch Between the Healthcare System and the Lived Realities of Latino Families Affected by Dementia, which included three subthemes: a) Linguistic barriers that referred to the quality and dialect fit (over-literal jargon, unfamiliar regional vocabulary, poor adaptation to literacy); b) Cultural misfit, were dementia-care programs were not culturally or linguistically appropriate, or programs where cultural norms were disregarded; and c) Structural and systemic barriers, such as communication failures (e.g. voicemail loops, no responsiveness) and long waits/fragmented pathways that broke clinical momentum (e.g. months to a year for specialty appointment). The second theme was: The Central Role of the Latino Caregiver in Navigating Dementia Care, where, in the absence of pathway ownership, care partners served as navigators, interpreters, coordinators, and safety monitors, while also bearing the emotional and financial strain. Discussion: The narratives from care partners reveal specific mechanisms (e.g., caregiver hyper-advocacy and "maze-like" coordination failures) that, if addressed, can guide intervention design and policy aimed at redistributing coordination back to the system and improving outcomes for Latino families.
Maldonado, A.; Heberer, K.; Lynch, J.; Cogill, S. B.; Nallamshetty, S.; Chen, Y.; Shih, M.-C.; Bress, A. P.; Lee, J.
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ImportanceSemaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA), is a highly effective medication to treat type 2 diabetes and obesity. However, concerns about potential suicidality persist, creating clinical uncertainty about its neuropsychiatric safety. ObjectiveTo assess risks of suicidality after initiating semaglutide compared to initiating SGLT2i and by duration of continuous semaglutide treatment. DesignActive-comparator, new-user target trial emulation to estimate inverse probability-weighted marginal cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs). For duration-of-treatment analyses, we used clone-censor-weight methods to estimate exposure-adjusted effects. SettingVeterans Health Administration. ParticipantsU.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes receiving care from March 1, 2018 to September 1, 2025. ExposureInitiation of semaglutide vs SGLT2i; duration of semaglutide use ([≤]6, 7-12, >12 months). OutcomesIncident suicidal ideation; suicide attempt or death; and a composite outcome. ResultsA total of 102,361 Veterans met inclusion criteria, including 11,478 new initiators of semaglutide and 90,883 new initiators of an SGLT2i. After overlap weighting, baseline characteristics were well balanced between treatment groups (mean [SD] age, 60.1 [11.7] years; BMI, 37.8 [6.8] kg/m2; hemoglobin A1c, 7.0% [1.4]; 85.5% male; 61.9% non-Hispanic White). During a median follow-up of 2.2 years, 9077 incident suicidal ideation events and 696 suicide attempts or deaths occurred. The incidence rate of suicidal ideation was 56.3 and 37.7 per 1000 person-years among semaglutide initiators and SGLT2i initiators, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.93-1.06; P = 0.86). For suicide attempts or deaths, the incidence rates were 4.30 and 2.64 per 1000 person-years, respectively (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.84-1.31; P = .86). In adherence-adjusted analyses, sustained semaglutide treatment for more than 12 months, compared with 6 or fewer months, was associated with a 74% lower risk of suicide attempts or deaths (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.14-0.54; P<.001). ConclusionAmong U.S. Veterans with type 2 diabetes, initiators of semaglutide were not observed to have an increased risk of suicidality compared with initiators of SGLT2i. Those with longer semaglutide treatment (beyond 12 months) had decreased risk of suicide attempt or death, suggesting longer term treatment is safe and may protect against for those outcomes.
Patil, P.; Durvasula, R.; Patel, S.; Malik, M.; Patil, S.
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Importance: Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP 1 RAs) and dual glucose dependent insulinotropic polypeptide/glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonists have demonstrated what may be considered transformative efficacy in recent randomized clinical trials for the treatment of obesity, yielding substantial weight loss in a majority of participants. However, the extent to which these trial results translate into routine clinical practice particularly within the rapidly expanding direct to consumer (DTC) telehealth sector serving self pay populations remains insufficiently characterized. As access to and affordability of these therapies broaden beyond traditional insurance based care models, evaluating real world effectiveness, safety, and patient engagement among individuals shouldering the full financial cost of treatment is essential for informing future models of obesity care delivery. Objective:To assess long term medication specific weight loss outcomes, including gender specific responses and discrepancies, and explore usage trends in a real world, self pay telehealth cohort receiving GLP 1 RA therapy, using an Observational study design (Retrospective data analysis). Setting and Participants:Retrospective data of patients enrolled in electronic health records (EHR) from Carevalidate, a national US telehealth platform provider for Online TeleHealth companies. The data collected ranged for a total of 703 days from January 12, 2024, to December 15, 2025. The analysis included 572 adults with overweight or obesity diagnosis who initiated treatment with semaglutide or tirzepatide and completed a minimum of 9 months of active follow up. Patients with insufficient follow up or those utilizing insurance coverage were excluded to isolate the self pay phenotype. Exposures: Prescription of semaglutide or tirzepatide (injectable or oral formulations) via synchronous or asynchronous telehealth consultations, titrated according to standard clinical protocols adapted for patient tolerance and financial sustainability. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was percentage total body weight loss (%TBWL) from baseline to the last recorded encounter. Secondary outcomes included categorical responder rates (5%, 10%, 15%, >20% weight loss), weight loss velocity analysis, and telehealth utilization metrics (frequency of encounters and visit intervals) including gender differences in approaching the telehealth program. Results: The final analytical cohort included 572 patients (79.2% female; 20.8% male). Overall, 95.8% (548/572) achieved weight loss, while 3.7% experienced weight gain. At 12 months, the mean %TBWL was 13.8% for the semaglutide cohort (n=450) and 12.5% for the tirzepatide cohort (n=122), with no statistically significant difference between the two medications (P >.05), contrary to standard clinical trial data suggesting tirzepatide superiority. A significant gender difference was observed: females were significantly more in number comprising 80% of the cohort and were likely to be "major responders" (>20% weight loss) compared to males (29.8% vs 5.9%; P <.001). Conversely, males demonstrated significantly higher utilisation rates, attending more frequent encounters (mean 13.5 vs 12.7; P =.028) with shorter intervals between visits (35.6 vs 44.1 days; P =.009) compared to females. Weight loss velocity for both medications peaked during months 1 to 3 (~1.07 lbs/week) and declined substantially by months 12 to 15, indicating a plateau effect independent of the specific agent used. Conclusions and Relevance: Telehealth-managed GLP 1 treatment in a self pay population demonstrates high efficacy comparable to clinical trials for semaglutide. However, tirzepatide outcomes fell short of trial benchmarks, likely due to economic barriers preventing optimal dose titration and lower sample size. The study identifies a discrepancy where females approach the telehealth based self pay system more but males engage more frequently with the digital platform which could be due to inferior physiological outcomes ( less weight loss and more non responders) compared to females.This suggests that while telehealth is a viable model for long term obesity care, the "one size fits all" approach may be insufficient for under responders, who may require distinct titration strategies or tailored behavioral interventions to overcome baseline genetic and biological resistance.
Bui, L. V.; Nguyen, D. N.
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Background. Vietnam's disease burden has shifted from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) causes to non-communicable diseases (NCDs), but the tempo, drivers, and regional positioning of this transition have not been jointly quantified. We characterised Vietnam's epidemiological transition 1990-2023 against ten Southeast-Asian (SEA) peers. Methods. Using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data, we computed joinpoint-regression AAPC with 95% CI (BIC-penalised, up to three break-points) for age-standardised DALY rates and cause-composition shares. We applied Das Gupta three-factor decomposition to 1990-2023 absolute DALY change (population-size, age-structure, age-specific-rate effects) and benchmarked Vietnam's NCD share against an SDI-conditional peer trajectory via leave-one-out quadratic regression. Premature mortality was quantified as WHO 30q70 under both broad NCD and strict SDG 3.4.1 definitions, using Chiang II life-table adjustment identically across all eleven countries. Findings. The CMNN age-standardised DALY rate fell from 13,295.9 to 4,022.1 per 100,000 (AAPC -4.63%/year; 95% CI -4.80 to -4.46); the NCD rate fell only from 21,688.2 to 19,282.8 (AAPC -0.37; -0.45 to -0.30). NCD share of total DALYs rose from 52.99% to 70.67% (+17.67 pp; AAPC +1.09). Vietnam ranked fourth of eleven SEA countries in 2023 (up from sixth in 1990) and sat 5.3% above the SDI-expected trajectory. Das Gupta decomposition attributed the +10.63 million NCD DALY increase to population growth (+6.26 M) and ageing (+6.08 M); rate change removed only 1.71 M. Premature NCD mortality fell from 25.02% to 21.80% (broad, 12.9% reduction) and from 22.17% to 19.50% (SDG 3.4.1, 12.0%; Vietnam sixth of eleven) - far short of the SDG 3.4 one-third-reduction target. Interpretation. Vietnam has entered a disability- and ageing-dominated NCD phase. Meeting SDG 3.4 by 2030 requires population-scale primary prevention sized to demographic momentum.
Ciudin Mihai, A.; Baker, J. L.; Belancic, A.; Busetto, L.; Dicker, D.; Fabryova, L.; Fruhbeck, G.; Goossens, G. H.; Gordon, J.; Monami, M.; Sbraccia, P.; Martinez Tellez, B.; Yumuk, V.; McGowan, B.
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This updated systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated the efficacy and safety of obesity management medications (OMMs) in terms of reducing body weight and obesity related complications. Medline and Embase were searched up to 21 November 2025 for randomized controlled trials comparing OMMs versus placebo or active comparators in adults. The primary endpoint was percentage total body weight loss (TBWL%) at the end of the study. Secondary endpoints were TBWL% at 1, 2 and 3 years, anthropometric, metabolic, mental health and quality of life outcomes, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, remission of obesity related complications, serious adverse events and all cause mortality. Sixty six RCTs (66 comparisons) were identified: orlistat (22), semaglutide (18), liraglutide (11), tirzepatide (8), naltrexone/bupropion (5) and phentermine/topiramate (2), enrolling 63,909 patients (34,861 and 29,048 with active compound and placebo, respectively). All OMMs showed significantly greater TBWL% versus placebo; tirzepatide and semaglutide exceeded 10% TBWL and showed the most favourable glycaemic effects. Semaglutide reduced major adverse cardiovascular events and all cause mortality. In dedicated complication specific trials, semaglutide and tirzepatide showed benefit on heart failure related outcomes; tirzepatide was associated with improved obstructive sleep apnoea syndrome and semaglutide with knee osteoarthritis pain remission. Tirzepatide and semaglutide were associated with improvements in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis remission, and semaglutide with improvement in liver fibrosis. No OMMs were associated with an increased risk of serious adverse events. These updated results reinforce the need to individualize OMMs selection according to weight loss efficacy, complication profile and safety.
Makinen, V.-P.; Kahonen, M.; Lehtimaki, T.; Hutri, N.; Ronnemaa, T.; Viikari, J.; Pahkala, K.; Rovio, S.; Niinikoski, H.; Mykkanen, J.; Raitakari, O.; Ala-Korpela, M.
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Background and aims: Direct evidence to connect early life metabolism with cardiometabolic diseases in old age is limited due to the rarity of multi-decadal biochemical follow-up studies. To gain deeper insight into metabolic ageing, we conducted a longitudinal study that integrates serial data on clinical biomarkers, metabolomics and clinical events across the human life course. Methods: Children born in 1962-1992 were included from four European cohorts. Time-series of clinical biomarkers and metabolomics data were available for 8,653 participants (ages 0-49 years, 142 molecular and four physiological variables). Comparable data for 13,795 UK Biobank participants at two visits (ages 40-79 years) were linked with retrospective and prospective records of diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Lifetime metabolic trajectories were reconstructed by unsupervised machine learning and local polynomial regression. Results: A stable stratification in metabolic health emerged in children between ages 3 and 12 years and persisted to old age. We summarized this population pattern by assigning each participant into one of seven metabolic subgroups with characteristic biomarker trajectories. Two subgroups (MetDys TG+ and MetDys TG-) featured increased waist-height ratio from childhood, persistently higher C-reactive protein throughout life and rapidly increasing fasting insulin between 30 and 49 years of age. Both subgroups exhibited high risk for diabetes (HR > 13) and ischemic heart disease (HR > 2.5) when compared against the lowest risk subgroup (High HDL ApoB-). Conclusions: This life-course analysis shows that metabolic dysfunction associated with excess weight gain begins in early childhood and is associated with cardiometabolic morbidity in later life.
Green, J.; Simon, S. S.; Fonseca, L. M.; Schnaider Beeri, M.; Kaplan, J.; Byham-Gray, L. D.; Tafuto, B.
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Background: Concomitant gabapentinoid and dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker (DHP-CCB) use amplifies dementia risk, an interaction proposed to involve dual neuronal calcium channel blockade. Whether this risk depends on the sequence of drug initiation - and is therefore preventable by prescribing order - remains unknown. Methods: Using the Rutgers Clinical Research Data Warehouse (2015-2024), we conducted three complementary analyses. The primary analysis (Population 4) compared gabapentin versus pregabalin in 4,451 patients on chronic DHP-CCB therapy who newly initiated a gabapentinoid (55 dementia events; IPTW Cox model). The asymmetry confirmatory analysis (Population 3) compared DHP-CCB versus ACE/ARB initiation in 1,740 patients on chronic gabapentinoid therapy (29 dementia events). A sensitivity analysis replicated prior findings in a broader CCB-first cohort (N=9,383). A dementia acceleration analysis examined outcomes in 273 patients with established dementia initiating gabapentinoid. Results: In Population 4, gabapentinoid initiation on a background of chronic CCB therapy was associated with a 2.23-fold elevated dementia risk compared to pregabalin (IPTW HR 2.23, 95% CI 1.43-3.48, p=0.0004). The Population 3 asymmetry test yielded a null result: adding DHP-CCB to chronic gabapentinoid therapy carried no differential dementia risk versus adding ACE/ARB (IPTW HR 0.995, 95% CI 0.595-1.664, p=0.98). This directional asymmetry - elevated risk only when gabapentinoid is added to pre-existing CCB therapy, not the reverse - is the central finding. Lagged analyses showed HRs increasing monotonically from 2.23 to 2.87 across 0- to 180-day lag windows, reducing concern for protopathic bias. In the dementia acceleration cohort, DHP-CCB use at gabapentinoid initiation was associated with encephalopathy (IPTW HR 2.09, 95% CI 1.19-3.67, p=0.010); zero encephalopathy events occurred among non-DHP CCB users (N=16), consistent with DHP subtype specificity. Conclusions: The gabapentinoid-CCB cognitive interaction is directionally asymmetric: risk concentrates in patients adding gabapentinoid to pre-existing CCB therapy, not the reverse. This pattern is mechanistically consistent with impaired homeostatic synaptic plasticity in neurons compensating for chronic L-type calcium channel blockade. For patients already on CCB therapy requiring neuropathic pain management, pregabalin may be preferable to gabapentin, pending external validation. The asymmetry also implies that initiating a CCB in a patient already on gabapentin may not carry equivalent risk.
Pan, H.; Wang, D.
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Abstract Background: Cardiometabolic diseases arise from metabolic dysfunction that develops decades before clinical onset. Conventional genetic risk models are typically derived in middle-aged or older populations, where genetic effects are confounded by cumulative environmental exposures, chronic comorbidities, and clinical interventions. Whether the life stage at which genetic liability is modelled influences the biological signal captured by polygenic scores remains unclear, particularly in underrepresented populations. We therefore tested whether genetic liability modelled in early adulthood, a period of relative physiological stability, is associated with cardiometabolic risk across the life course in Asian populations. Methods: We developed a polygenic score for metabolic syndrome, GenMetS, using data from 1,368 Singaporean women aged 18-45 years. The model integrates 15 established polygenic scores for metabolic traits and applies elastic-net penalized regression to optimize variant weights. GenMetS was evaluated in five cohorts comprising 670,952 individuals aged 0-94 years across population-based and disease-enriched settings, including Asian and European ancestry groups. Associations with metabolic traits, cardiometabolic diseases, multimorbidity, and early-life growth patterns were assessed. Results: In Asian populations, GenMetS explained 5.0-12.4% of the variance in metabolic syndrome in adults and 10.3% in children, with negligible performance in European populations (R squared < 0.001). Higher GenMetS was associated with increased odds of cardiometabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes, heart failure, and stroke (odds ratios 1.32-1.52 per standard deviation). In UK Biobank participants of Asian ancestry, GenMetS improved discrimination of cardiometabolic multimorbidity beyond age alone. Associations were consistent across sexes. In children, higher GenMetS was associated with obesogenic growth trajectories and increased abdominal adiposity. Conclusions: Genetic liability to metabolic dysfunction modelled in early adulthood captures a stable biological signal associated with metabolic traits, disease risk, and multimorbidity from childhood to adulthood in Asian populations. These findings indicate that the life stage of model derivation shapes the biological signal captured by polygenic scores and support the development of life-stage and ancestry-informed approaches for cardiometabolic risk assessment and prevention.
Xie, Z.; Jacobs, M. M.; Liang, J.; Patel, B.; Hong, Y.-R.
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Background: Advance care planning (ACP) documentation, including living wills and durable power of attorney (DPOA), is intended to support goal concordant end of life care. However, it is unknown if comprehensive documentation confers additional benefits, and how these associations vary across clinical contexts. Methods: We used 2010 to 2022 Health and Retirement Study exit interview data to examine associations between ACP documentation and end of life care among U.S. adults aged 50 years and older. Documentation was categorized as none, one document (living will or DPOA), or two documents (both). Outcomes included intensive care unit (ICU) use, life sustaining treatment, hospice enrollment, and out-of-hospital death. Modified Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted risk ratios (aRRs), and temporal trends in documentation were assessed using joinpoint regression. Results: Among 5,622 decedents representing 23.2 million individuals, 42.7% had two documents and 28.9% had none, documentation increased substantially around 2014. Compared with no documentation, having any documentation was associated with lower likelihood of life-sustaining treatment (aRR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.74 to 0.98) and higher likelihood of hospice enrollment (aRR=1.43, 95% CI: 1.28 to 1.60) and out-of-hospital death (aRR=1.11, 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.18), but not ICU use. Having two documents showed similar patterns, with modest differences compared with one document after adjustment. Associations were stronger among decedents with expected death and attenuated among those with unexpected death. Conclusions: Comprehensive ACP documentation is associated with less aggressive end of life care and greater hospice use, though the incremental benefits of two documents are modest. Findings highlight the importance of documentation within care planning processes and the clinical context.